I'd rather not follow the horse race aspect of the race. But one notices who is leading and who is dropping out. Trump on top, still. Jindal is out.
Carson is having some difficulties. Trump may be leading, but he isn't sewing it up. It's still up for grabs.
One thing about Trump: I think he makes too many unforced errors. The story about a Trump Cruz ticket is another example. Of course, it is only my opinion, but Cruz doesn't "balance" the ticket. Who would balance the ticket better than Cruz? The guy who is opposite, but not incompatible with Trump. Don't want to speculate on who that is, but Trump is said to like Cruz because he is in agreement with him 100%. If that's a correct story, then it indicates to me a lack of understanding of politics. Trump has to unite all the factions of the party, and he won't do that by nominating a clone of himself.
Trump probably won't be the nominee. But if he is, he probably won't win the general election.
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