Saturday, December 22, 2018

Shutdown ruse? Maybe.

comment:

I believe I said the same thing recently.   I theorized that Trump wouldn't shut the government down in order to save embarrassment for the GOP establishment wing.  When Trump got blowback for seeming to back down, he seemed to reverse course.  Now it is McConnell who is protecting the establishment wing, as Trump was doing.  Maybe that is clear.  Anyway, the last refuge blog discusses it per link below:





Dow Jones industrial average is off more than 3k for the past month.

The yield curve will invert unless something changes.  All recessions are preceded by an
inverted yield curve, but not every inverted yield curve results in a recession.  In other
words, there's no guarantee of a recession.  But the risk has gone way up.

When the Fed Funds rate goes up, the prime rate goes up as well.  It tends to follow the
Fed overnight rate by 3 percent.  If the target is for Fed funds overnight rate of 3 percent,
then the prime rate will be at 6.  You can be sure that borrowing will be less at that
rate.

There is going to be a slow down in economic growth.  This is inevitable.


A way forward on the wall funding?

It is said that the GOP doesn't need 60 votes in the Senate to pass a bill.

However, the GOP doesn't want to show its divisions, I would suspect.  Therefore, the GOP won't bring up the bill.  However, this article claims that the President can send in Pence to preside over the Senate, and thus have him bring up the bill.

It wouldn't pass anyway, but it would embarrass a lot of GOP'ers.  It would be bad optics for the Dems as well.



Friday, December 21, 2018

Political shell game


This could explain why Trump backed off of the shutdown threat.  It is a political maneuver.  It doesn't cost the GOP anything to back him on this, and but it costs the Democrats.

You have to wonder why they didn't do this sooner, but like I said, politics.



What I will do going forward

The possibility of these data spikes becoming permanent has crossed my mind.  In response to that possibility, a change in approach is going to be needed.  Evidently, the old ways of controlling data spikes have not been working well enough.

Keeping in mind that I think there is too much commercialization out there, and in
keeping with that thought, it may be well to remember that to spend too much time
on the news may be the one thing that could be corrected.  Frankly, the news is crap
these days.  Even on so-called conservative sites, there is just too much crap.

What I mean by crap is the playing upon emotions.  Our society has gone so far downhill
that even so-called conservative sites are out there with emotional button pushing.

I know this, but the habits are strong.  I visit the news sites anyway, although I
have been posting less and less upon what I see there.

It seems that one way forward is to visit fewer sites for the news.  But how to stay
current on the news?  I sure don't trust the conventional means of news delivery any
more.  That has been true for a long, long time.  However, there may not be any other
alternative.  Besides, even the conservative sites are turning into crap.

Allow me to segue into a deeper thought here.  In my opinion, public opinion is being
controlled.  It is a lot like what is happening in China, but perhaps not as extreme.

The powers-that-be control everything that we see and hear.  This includes the news.

It is but a small leap to try to control not only this, but what you think and say
about it.  This gives the powers-that-be full control over the minds of the people.

How to stay independent of these people?  You have to disengage somehow, while at the same time, remain in the mix.  This is going to be hard to do.

If we are truly in a fight over the culture, which I do think is the case, we are going
to have to accept the idea that these people seek to control us, and it is inevitable
that they are going to do whatever it takes to keep control over the informational
sources.  Therefore, in order to keep independent of these people, you are going to
have to develop and maintain your own information networks.

As for me, I am no people person.  I do not have the talent for organization.  Hopefully,
somebody out there could put together something.  There may be alternatives already out there.

Those on the so-called conservative side do not appear to be very good at this.  Once
a thing becomes commercialized, it is prey to these people's machinations.  For example, they will boycott your program.  Take Tucker Carlson, for example.  He is now being boycotted for what he says.

If you are independent of them, then you won't need their money.  Their boycotts can't
work in that case.  Once you start taking their money, then you become dependent upon
them.  This is the means by which you can be controlled.

What about these data spikes, then?

A grandiose thought, but I cannot help but think that my opposition to these people
is going to put me at logger heads with them.  The obscurity of this blog is no
defense.  They will brook no dissent.  I will assume that these spikes are part of the
controlling process.  Yet, the powers-that-be don't have to be involved with me.  They have the rank and file so indoctrinated that they don't need marching orders.  The plebes
fall right into line, and do the will of the controllers without having the need to be
told to.  It is probably some hacker that doesn't like my politics nor viewpoints.

So, in any case, I need to change my approach to how I do this blog.  Even deeper
than this, I may need to consider a completely new way of doing things.  If we
want to succeed in defending our culture, we had better think of something fast,
because time is running out.  We are losing it right now.

Incidentally, I really don't know if Trump is making enough of a difference.  Shoot, it
shouldn't be out of the realm of possibility that he is just one of them, and all of
this is just another circus.  Perish the thought, at least for now.

Trump is hurting his own credibility.  But then again, he only has credibility as long
as people believe him.  If he goes back on what he claims to be for, which is this
wall, then that is undeniable evidence that he won't follow through.  It is part of the
same pattern.  Failure theater.  A big show that makes it look like you are really
trying, but those other guys are the blame.  Then comes the excuses.

There is no excuse for lying.  If he really doesn't intend to build the wall, then
he is lying.  If that happens with him, then he is done.  But maybe he knew that all
along, and knew that it would be just a matter of time when people stop believing in
him.

If he really wants to help, then he'd better be more careful about what he says going
forward.  You cannot say things and then flip around 180 degrees just a few days
later.

But if Trump fails, then what?  We may be fast approaching that point.  He has
suffered a "yuge" credibility issue, and it is largely his own fault.  There is no
one else to blame for this one.

If you say you will shut down the government, then you had better not be kidding.

Ted Cruz did that crap, and that's when he lost me.  If you are going to go that route,
then you had better do it and stick with it.

The last post before this one, I mentioned the data spikes.  Okay, this post is how
to deal with those spikes going forward.  Now that I have covered that, and then
some, I started discussing the political scene a bit.

Let me segue further into what I think is happening.  I think the yield curve is
definitely going to invert.  This will have political consequences if it results in
a recession.

An inverted yield curve does not have to cause a recession, but every recession has
been preceded by one.  Therefore, the risk of a recession has just gone way the hell
up.  I was going to discuss that a bit when I saw the latest data spike.

Here's the link.

There's going to be more rate hikes, and the yield curve is on the verge of inverting
already.  These new hikes may well invert the yield curve.  The recession could happen
just in time for the next election.  What better way than to refute Trump than to have a
serious recession just in time for the election?

Note:  Maybe it is google.  I had the last spike as I was composing this post.  The spike
occurred as I was proof reading the post, and correcting typos.  Most of this post was
written yesterday.   No way that this used over 200 megabytes.

I leave with that thought until the next post.

Thursday, December 20, 2018

Data spikes



It's going to be hard to continue blogging with all these data spikes.

I was just on this morning for less than an hour, and boom--- I am
nearly maxxed out for the day.  There doesn't seem to be any way to
control it.

I also find it hard to believe that I could use this much data for
what I did this morning.

Nevertheless, I haven't any choice.  This company controls the data
bandwidth out here, and there is no other alternative than to use
them.

I am going to guess that it might have something to do with malware,
and will take some actions to do something about that.


Wednesday, December 19, 2018

Huawei: China’s Bid For Global Domination – Lunch Alert!

Comment:

This is a bid for total social control through the use of the internet.

Think of it as political correctness gone wild and gone global, with the Chinese at the head of it controlling everything.

They intend to keep track of people using a social credit scheme.

This is Big Brother on the rise.  Red Alert!





"Hand me a piece a cheese for that whine"


Don Surber: The rule of lawlessness: Chris Matthews of MSNBC predicted Donald John Trump will resign as president within weeks to protect his children from the persecution of Bu...

comment:

Boy, are people ready to go belly up so easily!

But it doesn't surprise me.  They have been talking "civil war" for the longest time.  Given this response to "Tingles", I can see that I was right.  These guys would never fight a war.  They are so worried about getting hurt that they would never shoulder a weapon.

Yet, this is the most heavily armed populace in the world.  Or maybe save Switzerland.

Civil war my ass.



Tuesday, December 18, 2018

Boy Scouts to Declare Bankruptcy

Video is included below:






comment:

The culture these days do not question that women should be protected from sexual predators.  Why is that attitude not expressed equally towards young boys?

The decision by the Boy Scouts to allow homosexuals into their midst has caused many parents to pull their sons out of the Scouts.  Now the Boys Scouts are going bankrupt.

But the larger culture will still be negative towards people who want to protect their sons.  It is a shame, and it is one of the things that is killing western civilization.


Monday, December 17, 2018

You may not want to say that to some dudes

"Is it your period?"  It got him hit.  Seems that some college dudes are okay with it, though.


Don Surber: A college where men menstruate: Someone should explain the birds and the bees to the administrators at Washington State University because the college is installing tampon ...

But that doesn't work with some dudes.

POWELL: New Facts Indicate Mueller Destroyed Evidence, Obstructed Justice

Rather strongly worded article.

If the author is correct, Mueller could actually be in trouble.  There are folks who doubt that anything will happen, however. 

Hopefully, this is truly the end for Mueller.






Sunday, December 16, 2018

Congressman Issa: Flynn's conviction will be overturned

If this happens, what happens to the Mueller investigation then?  If Mueller is busted for prosecutorial misconduct, then how does he maintain credibility?

Just my opinion here, this thing has always stunk to high heaven.



Paul Craig Roberts: "In the Western World Truth Is on Its Deathbed"

comment:

If Roberts is correct, his short essay shows why that is so.

To explain it, you would have to be well-versed in Christianity.  Roberts seems to believe that you should be rewarded for telling the truth.  However, if history is any guide, truth has not been a welcomed thing.

Here's what I think:  the world is governed by vice, not by virtue.  Truth-telling is not going to fare well in such an environment.  You have to be prepared to be punished for telling the truth. 

I like to quote a couple proverbs on the subject:  One of those is Mexican, and it says that only children and fools tell the truth.  The other is Arabic.  It says that he who tells the truth must always have one foot in the stirrup.

If you tell the truth, you will be punished for it.  It takes some guts, and little regard for reward, in order to tell the truth.

Besides, the powerful need a good talking to.  The powerful do not always remain powerful.  The high and mighty can be brought down.  In such a war, be prepared to accept casualties.