Friday, May 22, 2020

Freepers jeepers

Looking over some stats over at Free Republic.  It is about the Wooflu dooper do.

What struck me was the total lack of correlation between testing and deaths.   They'll scream "More tests"!  But this shows that more tests won't produce fewer deaths.

First, the total number of cases per million per state.  The top five will be compared to those states in the statistical area of Texas in the rankings.

New York has over ten times the number of cases per million than Texas

Not looking good for New York.  Lots of cases.  The worst state in the nation.

Moving on to the number of deaths per million:

Oh no Mr Bill!  It is even worse for the death numbers.  New York is nearly 30 times more deaths per million than Texas.

Why so many more deaths in New York?  Maybe they do more testing in Texas???  Nope.  There LESS testing in Texas.  Can you bereave it?


Texas has 1/3 the number per million of tests than New York, but New York has 30 times the number of deaths.



It ain't the tests.



Thursday, May 21, 2020

Unfreaking believable

It says here that 3/4ths of all Woohoo flu deaths in Pennsylvania were in nursing homes or personal care facilities.  Not only that, but these facilities were forced to accept infected patients.

quote:

Let me again point out the irony -- or perhaps the calculated outcome -- that the only places in the US where the infection rates and death rates came close to matching the models' predictions is in those Democrat states whose Democrat governors engineered a mass slaughter of the elderly by ordering that the infected be mixed in with the unifected by compromised.

The guy responsible for this policy claims to be a woman.  Yep.  A freaking lunatic was put in charge of critical health decisions for Pennsylvania.

People need to be held accountable for this.

Update a short while later:

There's another article there that shows the contrast between Florida and New York.   No link available.  Just scroll down.

It looks like it was a deliberate act to juice the death numbers.


Update:

Not limited to Pennsylvania.  81% of Minnesota covid-19 deaths from nursing homes.

Update:

Ohio 70%!









Watergate Redux

Updated:

5.21.20:

This update is connected to the cargo cult nature of the left.   Read through to get the link to the term cargo cult as it applies to the left. 

The cargo cult nature of the left is on full display in the politics of the Woohoo-flu.

Cargo cultism is a belief in things without any underlying understanding of the principles involved.  Just as the cargo cults of the South Pacific during World War II would attempt to bring "goodies" from the skies by speaking into boxes ( that weren't radios); these people go through the motions of doing something that will purportedly bring out the results they seek.

Now they give us models that predict that Trump will lose because of the economy.  Another cargo cult?  Just might well be.

My how they may have cooked up the whole virus scare in order to bring about the result of winning an election against the Orangeman Bad.  If my theory is correct, this won't work any better than the South Pacific Islanders attempting to bring goodies from the sky by speaking into wooden boxes.



6.12.19:

6:52 pm:

Reading through some tweets, it seemed that there were some of Dean's admirers who were upset at the questioning by GOP reps.  But why?  Are these people upset at the truth?  Or why do they admire Dean?

All Dean did was to take care of himself.  This is nothing to admire.  It is the imposture of being somehow heroic that is galling to those who find nothing heroic in his behavior.  He only turned because he feared punishment.  Since then, he has profited from the betrayal of those who he once worked with.

Let's put it another way.  Would Dean turn on Democrats if he could profit from it?  Why would  these people be so sure that this guy wouldn't betray them as well?


11:00:

John Dean should never be considered a hero.  A hero gives up something of himself for a larger cause.  What did John Dean give up?  He seems to have profited off Watergate, and his felonious role in it.

Here is the conservapedia's account of John Dean.  Even if you read the much friendlier Wikipedia entry, as I wrote down below, you should be able to see that John Dean is no hero.

If he had taken his medicine and become an honest man, it would be a credit for him.  Once again, John Dean is trying to profit off his Watergate crimes.


5.20.19:

Time for an update.  The name "John Dean" was mentioned again, so here goes.

The left has been compared to a cargo cult.  The cargo cultists of World War II in the Pacific didn't understand the truth behind what they imitated.  They went through the motions, but the magic didn't happen.  Truth doesn't require magic, just understanding.

The left searched for its modern "Dean" in same manner as the cargo cultists prayed for goodies from the sky in airplanes.  The cargo cultists didn't understand the science behind radios and airplanes.  Science is based upon truth.  The left didn't understand how John Dean's magic worked during the Watergate era.  It worked because it was based upon truth.  There was no "John Dean" today because there was no Watergate scandal today.  If there was a Watergate, there were looking in the wrong spot!  They may want to look in the mirror.

Seeking lies as your truth is like Satan casting himself out.  "A house divided against itself cannot stand."


8.20.18:



In response, John Dean said he turned down immunity, but that doesn't mean he got hammered. G.Gordon Liddy decided to not cooperate, and for this, he got a sentence so harsh that Pres. Jimmy Carter commuted the sentence.

John Dean may not have gotten immunity, but he still got off easy.  He materially participated in the crime.

On the other hand, the POTUS Trump's lawyer may not know anything material about what is alleged against Trump.  It is a fishing expedition.


8.7.18:

This post now segues into the Manafort Trial.  It is now several days into the trial, and the star witness is on the stand.  The question here is why should you believe Gates?  Comparisons are made with Watergate and John Dean.  Okay.  Looking back at Watergate, if Dean's testimony was corroborated, then that part of what he said was credible.  Seems to me that Dean's testimony was extensively corroborated, or was it?

Don't know if that is the case.   At the time, I was still in high school.   Dean's testimony seemed credible back then, but then, my skull was "full of mush".  Supposedly, I grew up, and learned to think for myself.  Basically back then, Dean's testimony was highlighted by a media that was hostile to Nixon.  A gullible public ( or kid )  may find it credible and turn against the POTUS.   Same thing can happen here with Gates, and a gullible public.  If you want to be impartial, you need to have some way to corroborate the testimony in order to test for its truthfulness.  A hostile media and a "cooperative" witness does not make it the truth.  A person who does his due diligence does not accept the testimony of just one man.   Likewise, even if several witnesses take the stand, their testimony must agree in a way that it cannot be dismissed as a railroad job.

So, I am not convinced by some of the headlines that I see on the usual suspect websites.

But the question is this:  does the public believe it?  Does the jury believe it?  We saw in the OJ Simpson case that a trial does not necessarily produce the right outcome.  Not that I would want to change our system of justice.  But there does seem to be a problem here.  What's to prevent a witness from making up a story in order to save his own skin?


7:00 pm:

You have to be pretty careful when you write about something like this, so as not to be misunderstood.  I don't want to get in the business of helping people get away with doing some wrong.  It's that I don't think that Trump has done anything wrong, and it is the other guys who are wrong.  Events may show otherwise, but even if they showed otherwise, I would be very skeptical about it.  I don't trust what these people say.  I take it with a grain of salt.

A lot of what I write comes from the Wikipedia.  This source has been criticized in the past, and I understand that.

What I learned in my reading is that what Dean said about Watergate, ( according to Wikipedia ) was correct.  Now, the problem with John Dean was that he was happy to be Nixon's man until he ran the real risk of jail time.  Then, he sang like a canary.

My problem is that if you make the decision to do something wrong, you have to face the consequences of that square on.  Dean made it easier on himself.  He got only four months of jail time for his part in the Watergate Cover-up.  Liddy fell on the sword, so to speak, and got the book thrown at him by Judge Sirica.  Jimmy Carter commuted his sentence, but Liddy spent some serious time in jail.  ( not sure about the duration, there )

Naturally, the airs that Dean puts on sometimes, like he is a hero or something, rankle guys like Liddy.  Liddy had to pay a settlement ( according Wikipedia again , Liddy makes it sound like HE won).  So, I really don't know WHO really won this argument.  What I DO know ( or think I know, since I am reading Wikipedia ) is that John Dean really did save his own skin.  This in not the behavior of a hero by any stretch of the imagination.  The liberal left loves him up, and it looks to me like Dean loves to play up the liberal audiences.

In the end, things will get sorted out.  Or, at least one would hope so.  But what concerns me is that a false confession could be wrangled out these guys in order to get a political advantage.  That appears to me to be a real threat here.  Flynn's conviction may be thrown out.  We have to wait and see on that.



Originally posted 2.26.18 @ 8:52 am:

Who's the bad guy here?  Well, the convention wisdom is that John Dean is a good guy.  It is because he turned to their side in the Watergate scandal, and began "cooperating".

The reason I use scare quotes around the word cooperate, is that G. Gordon Liddy accused John Dean of lying in order to get favorable treatment.  If John Dean did lie, then what he did was to bring down the Nixon presidency in order to make himself into a hero of sorts.

Truth is the gold standard here.  But it might well get lost in the zeal of producing an outcome more to the liking of certain politicians and their followers.

That is why I wrote what I did yesterday.  Even if the worst is true, that Trump enlisted the aid of Russians in order to win the election, it still isn't even illegal.  But I doubt that it is true, or they would have had the information already.  It wouldn't have taken them this long in order to produce and get it out there.  Instead, what it seems to me that they need is some traitor type to make up a story that they can sell to the American public.

It may work.  That is why I am saying we may need some sort of supernatural assistance to overcome this.  If they are soliciting a lie in order to bring down a president, then they are the bad guys.  That is what G. Gordon Liddy might have been getting at.  John Dean is no hero.  He is just as guilty as the rest.

There were lawsuits over Liddy's accusations, and I am not sure how it all worked out.  My guess is that there is some truth to what G. Gordon Liddy said.  This doesn't make G. Gordon Liddy a good guy.  But it doesn't make Dean a good guy either.  Neither should have been hired in the first place.  But Nixon paid for that.  The real problem here is the government interfered in the election.  People heard about all this stuff during the election already.  None of this is new.  It didn't matter.

No, the thing that matters is that the "wrong" guy won, and so these people want to run the election all over again, or even get it thrown out.  But we had the election.  It didn't matter.  It shouldn't matter now.  No laws were broken.

Show where the law was broken, and don't give me any crap about obstruction of justice.



Tuesday, May 19, 2020

Focus Fusion News: New Anode Design, Be Lowers Erosion, Hiring + More!


From: LPPFusion Team
Date: Wed, May 13, 2020, 2:39 PM
Subject: New Anode Design, Be Lowers Erosion, Hiring + More!





LPPFusion Report

May 13, 2020

Summary:
  • Anode Cracks, New Designs on The Way
  • Beryllium Decreases Electrode Erosion
  • LPPFusion is Hiring!
  • Laser PB11 Show Big Advance
  • Fusion Documentary "Let There Be Light" Airs in France, Germany, Japan
  • Lerner to Speak on Energy, Finance and Coronavirus—Online May 17

Anode Cracks; New Designs on The Way

 Just as the LPPFusion research team was about to resume firing in March, we discovered that FF-2B's anode was cracked. We've used the shutdown time, necessitated by both the crack and the coronavirus, to complete the design of our new switches, and to redesign the anode. We're aiming to resume firing with these crucial new upgrades in the fall. This will allow us to keep to our plan of initiating experiments with hydrogen-boron fuel in 2020.
 
We discovered the cracks on March 23, when we imaged the anode from a protected window at the bottom of the vacuum chamber. It was clear that we would have to replace the anode but we did not want to open the chamber and completely re-assemble the electrodes. Since we would have to be extremely careful to ensure that no beryllium dust escaped to contaminate the experimental room, we had not planned to do any complete disassembly  this year. However, the team came up with a plan to remove just the anode from above, while maintaining a reduced pressure in the chamber, guaranteeing that air would be flowing inwards into the chamber and no dust could escape. 

The tricky part was to lift the anode vertically so it would not hit the surrounding ceramic insulator and crack that, too. There is only a 1 mm gap between the two parts. But Research Scientist Dr. Syed Hassan worked out a way to lift the anode with lab jacks and a level to guide a supporting rod. During the delicate operation on March 30, which we recorded, one jack collapsed. Fortunately, Dr. Hassan's many lab skills include a quick reaction time, so he seized the supporting rod in time to prevent any damage to the insulator. (Fig.1) With Chief Scientist Eric Lerner assisting, Dr. Hassan successfully removed the anode and substituted an older steel plate with an O-ring as a temporary seal.
Fig.1 LPPFusion Research Scientist Dr. Syed Hassan, fully protected against any release of beryllium dust, signals to Chief Scientist Eric Lerner the successful removal of the cracked anode (dimly visible under steel plate attached to steel beam).
Fig. 2 Upper image shows side view of anode with one of two cracks extending the length of the shaft. Bottom image shows cracks (at top and bottom of this image) extending out of the damaged area in the inner lip of the anode.

Finding the Cause

Inspection showed two cracks running the entire length of the anode shaft (Fig.2). Initially, we suspected this might be due to mechanical stresses caused by the attachment of the upper vacuum chamber. But we saw no cracks on the base of the anode, where the upper chamber is attached. In addition, CAD simulations performed by LPPFusion Mechanical Engineer Rudy Fritsch showed that the stresses we had created were small on the base of the anode and negligible on the shaft. But if mechanical stress was not a problem, what could have concentrated stress to create these two cracks? The damage seemed to have originated from 100-micron wide cuts in the inner lip of the anode.

At this point, LPPFusion CIO Ivy Karamitsos pointed out that, since we had been so concerned for a long time about asymmetries in the current sheath, why couldn't these same asymmetries have led to the cracks? This seemed a good idea to look at. Lerner's calculations showed that a plasma filament with 100-micron diameter could vaporize the beryllium if it carried a current of more than 60 kA. A symmetric set of filaments would carry only 20 kA apiece, so would not cause the observed damage. But in a very asymmetric set of filaments, one filament could easily carry three times the average current.

This hypothesis explained how the cracks originated in small areas at the hollow end, or mouth, of the anode, where the current is at its most concentrated, and then propagated mechanically toward the anode base. The mild melting on the rest of the inner anode lip was consistent with what would be expected from an un-filamented sheath. There was also independent evidence for an asymmetric discharge. The deposits of beryllium on our two opposing windows were very different in shape and amount.

But what caused such asymmetric filaments and when did they occur? Since we don't have any images of the anode taken from the bottom window during last fall's firing, we don't know for certain when the cracks occurred. We will in the future have a procedure for taking images after each day's firing. The deposits on the windows did give us a clue. The thickness can be measured from the spectrum, which was taken with nearly every shot. This data implied that erosion increased between the end of October and mid-December, a period with 30 shots.

During this period, there were three likely causes, which probably had to occur in some combination to cause the damage. First there were several prefires, in which one switch alone fired, causing major asymmetries in current. Second, we had deliberately turned off the pre-ionization as a test. Pre-ionization smoothes the initiation of the current, and turning it off could have increased asymmetry. Finally, several of the shots were at low pressure, which also can lead to an uneven breakdown. In a couple of shots on October 29 all three conditions occurred simultaneously.
 
Prevention and Beyond—New Switches

Fortunately, we are in a good position to prevent such cracks going forward. We have made major design changes to our new switches that will likely eliminate prefires. We will avoid in future shots turning off the preionization and firing at low pressures. In addition, the new anode we will be getting can be strengthened with design changes and annealing, a process of controlled heating to release strains caused during the machining of a part.

We expect that it will take about three to four months to replace the beryllium anode and we've already contacted potential suppliers. To avoid a major delay in our work, we will simultaneously be getting our new switches made and installed. We are already soliciting bids on their manufacture. The new switches will not only eliminate prefires, they will also allow us to have much less down time for maintenance. Even more important they will increase the amount of current the device produces which will increase fusion yield. When we resume firing in the early fall, we believe we will have a device that can overcome the remaining hurdles to high fusion yield. We'll have more details on our plans in the next report (coming soon).


Beryllium Decreases Electrode Erosion

While the cracks were bad news, our inspection of the beryllium anode also brought good news. The erosion of the electrode near the insulator has markedly decreased with the beryllium electrode as compared with our previous tungsten electrode. This erosion and roughening, seen clearly in Figure 3a of our last tungsten anode caused an asymmetric formation of the current sheath at the very start of the pulse. This, in turn, was a big contribution to an asymmetric compression, and much less density and fusion yield than our goals. The roughened surface acted like thousands of tiny lightning rods, making breakdown easier and faster in some spots and slower in others.

But after nearly 200 shots, almost exactly as many shots as the tungsten anode underwent, the beryllium anode remains smooth and almost mirror-like near the insulator. A small amount of melting has clearly rippled the surface somewhat, as indicated by the broadening of the light reflection as compared to the untouched metal that was protected by the insulator. But the heavy roughening and erosion so evident with the tungsten has disappeared.
Figure 3. The tungsten anode (a) shows heavy erosion and roughening near the insulator, while the beryllium anode (b) shows a much smoother surface. The lower half of each anode was covered by the insulator and so was not eroded at all. The rainbow-like colors are created by thin layers of metal deposited on them.

Why would beryllium, with a boiling point of 2470 ℃, resist erosion better than tungsten, with a boiling point of 5550 ℃? We're sure the answer is that the tungsten anode had a deep layer of tungsten oxide which we were never able to remove. The tungsten oxide was very fragile and easy to vaporize, disintegrating at 500 ℃, but the layer kept re-forming after each shot. In contrast, beryllium forms a very thin oxide layer, which was vaporized with our first shot, back in June of last year. After that, the bare beryllium metal was able to conduct the heat generated in the initial "breakdown" that forms the plasma without vaporizing.

Eliminating the roughness is a big step forward towards our goal of symmetric plasma breakdown and compression. But we can improve further. We suspect that the small light grey patches on the beryllium anode were formed during that first "blow-off "shot which covered the chamber with a layer of beryllium oxide. The patches may still contribute somewhat to an irregular breakdown. In preparing the next anode, we will be working with the manufacturer to see if we can prevent the formation of even a thin layer of oxides, so that the first shot of the new series can't create any asymmetries.

Here's Why Judge Sullivan Can't Legally Punish Michael Flynn For 'Perjury'

Here's Why Judge Sullivan Can't Legally Punish Michael Flynn For 'Perjury': Sullivan should not embark on any contempt proceeding against Michael Flynn. Doing so would be a misuse of his contempt power.