Monday, September 19, 2011

The Horserace for September 15, 2011

The state of the Republican nomination according to Erick Erickson of RedState.
excerpts:
  • Bachmann: She’s fallen below Newt Gingrich in some polls. That latest might have been fatal.
  • Cain: The campaign has not gotten traction.
  • Gingrich: ...Newt is resigned to defeat, but wants to make sure the GOP wins.
  • Huntsman: His campaign seems aimless and accidental
  • Paul: He will not be the nominee.
  • Perry: Suddenly this race is his to lose.
  • Romney: ...as the field consolidated, Romney would poll worse and worse
  • Santorum: Rick Santorum is Admiral Stockdale. He will not be the nominee.
Comments:

Paul would be intriguing, but he goes off on these tangents sometimes.  Seeming to blame America for 911 is too much.  I agree, we spend too much money on wars and such.  But I am for a strong defense.  Paul can excite a small fringe, but that is about it.

Romney looks the part, but is he for real?  Nobody really believes in the guy because he seems to be artificial. What is Romney all about?

Bachmann would also be interesting.  But she has the "crazy" factor going against her.  I suspect too many people would write her off as a nutcase.  She didn't help herself by attaching herself to the HPV issue.

Cain started out anti Muslim, then seemed to change.  You shouldn't appear to be like a feather in the wind.

Huntsman has been identified too much to the left.

Gingrich is an enigma.  Personality seems to be his big problem.

Santorum lost big time in a reelection campaign for Senate.  He looks like a loser.  Too bad.

Perry seems to win by default.  If doesn't make too big of a mistake anywhere, he will probably win.  Otherwise, it may fall to Romney.

 

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