Tuesday, September 2, 2014

Major black swan event inevitable

The powers that be have screwed us, no doubt about it.

The only thing to do is to be prepared for it when it arrives.  It's like a hurricane, in some respects.  Hurricanes are unpredictable, even with modern technology doing the prognosticating.  You know one is coming, but what you don't know is where the landfall will be and what the forces will be when it arrives.  A lot of it is guesswork, but you'd better not be in any place that is low, or you will be flooded out.  Thus, you need to avoid bad situations that will arise when the excrement hits the fan, and it will.  When that event happens is hard to tell, just like a hurricane.  But also like the hurricane, it will come ashore eventually.

I'm convinced it's coming because of the way these people are.  They are trying to manage the economy, but there are limits to how much this can be done.  It's like the saying that you may have seen before:  "Accept God, or Be God".  These people think they are Gods and will be able to keep everything under control.  They can't and won't.  That has already been demonstrated time and again throughout history.  Events are going to overwhelm them and the system will fail.  You can trust them as if you trusted God, or you can get the hell out of Dodge.  Being in the Big Cities is not a good idea, because they will be death traps.  I learned that shortly after Katrina when another storm came Houston's way.  The freeways jammed solid for 70 miles in all directions.  People were stranded out there in the hot sun all day long.   Food shelves were bare, and the supermarkets closed early.  Lines formed in front of gas stations so you couldn't get gas.

This prediction is going to seem alarmist to almost everyone.  Most likely, people will pay no heed to this.  But when it hits, there will be panic.  That's the worst thing to be in the middle of.  Millions of people trying to get out of this hellhole are going to be like rats fleeing a sinking ship.  Like not being in low lying places when a hurricane hits, the last place you want to be is in the big city.

It's impossible to say when exactly this event will occur.  We could go on a few years like this, or it could happen any day now.  It's impossible to say what will be the trigger that causes the catastrophe.  It could be a war, a terrorist event, or some other event that causes widespread unrest.  The catastrophe will be accompanied by a monetary collapse.  The price system cannot accurately work with the unlimited printing of money.  Fiat money, as it is called, has always failed.  It will fail again, make no mistake.  The fiat money system is not sound, as it will not survive a major black swan event.

We could survive such an event.  But the Gods in DC in all their wisdom have made this impossible.  Food and water should be stockpiled and placed at strategic locations.  One thing that will get people in panic mode will be when they see empty shelves and stuff stops working.  Nobody in DC is planning for such an event because they are probably concerned about "confidence".  They believe that all you need to run this ship is confidence, but you need an ocean worthy ship.  A monetary system like the one they've created will be a leaky ship.  Propaganda and unlimited money printing won't keep it afloat.  It will only keep the people quiet until all hell breaks loose.

Nobody is likely to be ready for this.  Not even me.  I'm moving in the right direction, but it won't be fast enough, I am beginning to suspect.


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