Romney Should Win in a Landslide

Real Clear Politics, Dick Morris

excerpt:

1. They poll only registered voters, not likely voters. 
2. Johnson in ’64, Nixon in ’72, Ford in ’76, Carter in ’80, Reagan in ’84, Bush in ’92 and Clinton in ’96 all failed to pick up a single undecided vote.
3. And his approval has dropped in almost every single state. Even in California, it has fallen from 55 percent in 2010 to 50.5 percent in 2011
4. I also found that Obama’s personal favorability, which has usually run about 10 to 20 points higher than his job approval, is now equal to his job rating.
5. Obama cannot summon the commitment he got in 2008 by negatives or partisanship. It was precisely to change the “toxic” atmosphere in Washington that he was elected. To fan it now is not the way to regain the affection of those who have turned on him.
6. The journalists in the mainstream media, who are not politicians and have never run campaigns, do not realize what is happening. 

Like Glenn Reynolds of Instpundit likes to say, "don't get cocky".