It is very well thought out, and well written. The conclusion is that nobody knows what is going to happen.
I agree. But I am pretty sure that there will be no civil war. If you don't have the organization for an army, how the heck are you going to fight one?
There are two possible outcomes
- The Trump faction wins the election, or
- His opponents win.
What Codevilla says is that the so-called resistance will continue fighting. However, do you surrender to them when they lose an election? On what basis do they continue "resistance"?
If you put it all on the election, you cannot very well disavow it. Both sides are putting it all on the election.
The people get to decide. A defeat of Trump means certain impeachment, and likely not a second term. A defeat of the resistance makes them plainly seditious. Not sure that they are prepared to go the whole route. I think they fold.
In any case, if you prepare for a war, there is less of a probability of one. But no guarantees.
But the so-called right is not organizing, so if they lose, they will give up.
No war is likely. If there is one, it won't last long no matter who wins this election.
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