Texas Senatorial Race

Updated,

9.15.18:

3:00 pm:

You can talk all you want about the endless investigations.  Every last bit of that is meant to distract from the issue at hand.

The issue is do you want Trump to be POTUS or not?  Because if you do, you'd better make sure that the Democrats do not win in November 2018.  They must be stopped, because if they are not, they will be emboldened.  So will the never Trumper faction of the GOP, which is probably a significant portion of elected officials.  The never Trumpers cannot do what they want because they cannot justify it to the voters.  They are biding their time.

If the GOP retains the House, impeachment goes away.  That is the only way to be sure.  In order to accomplish that, everybody who voted for Trump in 2016 must go back and do it again.  If not, the GOTV of the Democrats may force a change in control of Congress, and all bets are off.

The investigations are the distraction that makes you overlook this fact.

2:30 pm:

The last midterm was in 2014.  A Texas Senate seat was in play in that election as well.  How many votes cast?  About 4.6 million.  That is only half as many as was cast in 2016, just two years later.

Clearly, an opportunity exists for the Democrats, provided that the GOP loses interest, and does not vote. However, if the GOP does its job, they will win this state easily.  If not, look out!


@noon:

It is interesting to look back at the 2012 election, in which Cruz won.  He won by
1.3 million votes.  Again, if the GOP voters show up here in Tx, they will win quite
easily.  If they don't show up, they can lose.

You can pay attention to all the noise, or you can set your priorities on what you
want from the government.

There is really no excuse for the party of limited government to be staying home.

Trump has governed the way that these people should be supporting.  Everything else
you're hearing is noise.


9.12.18 @ 8 am
the original post follows:

To make this short and sweet, it's Trump v. Obama, not Cruz v. O'Rourke.  Why?

It's all about turnout.  If the 2016 race were to be hyped up, which is what
this has become, then the Dem great hope is that they can turn out the vote.  If
that happens, they figure they can win.

Looking at the primary vote, it was just a fraction of the vote in the general.  In
2016, nearly 10 million Texans voted.  In the primaries?  Just a million and a
half voted for the GOP Senate candidates.  If the Dems got out as many votes as
the GOP, which they didn't, it would have only had been 30% of the turnout for
the general.

In other words, the primary vote numbers don't mean squat.  It is the general
election that matters now.  In the general election, the idea is to remove Trump
and to put "hope and change" back on the ballot.

Will it work?  Only if the GOP falls asleep.  That can happen, you know.  That
is why Cruz invited Trump to come to Texas, and help him out.

You could generalize that to the national scene as well.  If the Trump voters
stay home, and if the rest of the GOP stays home, then they could lose the
Congress and the Presidency.

Victory is all about turnout.