Monday, December 19, 2011

How good are long term predictions?

Some of the predictions made 80 years ago for today were quite good.  I think the one by William Ogburn was the best of the bunch.  But he was off on the population figure, though.  In contrast, the one by Robert Millikan wasn't particularly close.  It is a reminder to me or anyone else that science may not solve our problems.  But it is a persistent belief.

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