Larry Sabato is said to have a pretty good track record of predicting elections.
His prediction stands at 3.5 over / under for the GOP. That means that the GOP can take 3 or 4 Senate seats net gain. His bet would be on the over, he says, so it is most likely 4.
A plus 4 won't be enough to take control over the Senate. That means the GOP has an uphill battle to retake the Senate.
His predictions on the House is that it will remain under GOP control.
Somehow, the status quo doesn't quite match the feeling that seems to be out there. I'd say his prediction is a bit too conservative, unless something drastic happens that hurts the GOP's chances.
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