Presidential politics for 2016

It's way too early to be speculating on this.  Lots of things can still happen between now and then.

I watched a lot of the debates for 2012 and so I was more hip than what is usually the case.  There's some talk out there, so here goes.  Dick Morris had something on one of his lunch alerts that discussed the early going.  He pointed out that the GOP likes to give the nomination to candidates who lost the nomination fight in the past.  If this pattern holds, Rand Paul is not likely to do well, as he is the new kid on the block.  New guys don't do well in getting the nod for the GOP.  Who fits that bill?  Santorum and Gingrich from 2012, and Huckabee from 2008.  Bush may get the nod for being well known.

If Bush jumps in, he'll be the favorite.  That's really not much to get excited about.  As for Santorum and Gingrich, I think they should have teamed up in 2012 when they had the chance.  Santorum at the top of the ticket and Gingrich at the bottom.  Could this ticket win?  A lot depends on what happens between now and then.  However, the GOP doesn't have much of a track record lately, so probably not.