Curtains for Cain

By Tom Thurlow, American Thinker

excerpts:

• Whether he knows it or not, Herman Cain's campaign is over.
• As a litigator, I am routinely lied to and sometimes I end my day so cynical that I am surprised when someone actually tells me the truth. But, with all apologies to Herman Cain fans, this story has the ring of truth to it.
• Herman Cain made two almost inexplicable statements: in answering charges that he said did not happen and could not have happened, he offered to take a lie-detector test, "but only if I had a good reason to do that." [Comment: lie-detectors are not accepted as evidence in court.  Cain shouldn't have offered to take one under any circumstances.  They can give false positives or false negatives. If Cain was a sociopath, it wouldn't be reliable anyway. ]  ...And in answer to a Wall Street Journal reporter's question, Cain said that "there will probably be other" complaints of sexual harassment.[ comment: If these are politically motivated, and the odds that more accusations will cause people to believe it, Cain's statement is understandable.  This doesn't imply that he is guilty of anything.]
• Numbers matter. While Clarence Thomas had only one accuser, so far there are 4 women charging Cain with sexual harassment, and as Cain himself predicted "there will probably be others."

Nice try.  I'm sure he is very experienced as a litigator.  But he doesn't persuade me at all.

Cain may have a hard time keeping all of his supporters onboard, but once the field starts to thin out, he could have a chance.  Also, if he hangs on long enough, he may be able to bounce back.

I don't buy the "numbers matter" part.   A million people saying the same thing doesn't make a false thing true.  From a logical point, that is.  From a legal standpoint, or a political standpoint, he may be right.  But if he is, anyone can be brought down by a conspiracy of lies in such a manner as this.  If you don't think a conspiracy can be put together for something like this, I think you are naive.

Furthermore, there's the 15,000 dollar software that can detect lies from analyzing people's voices.  It is claimed to be 95% accurate.  This test clears Cain and says Bialek is lying.  What are the odds of that?  Or do those numbers not matter?