Monday, September 16, 2024

On winning elections and losing them

I've been studying over the Pew Research chart I saw on Powerline today.

There's a significant difference in the way the candidates prioritize the top issues.

It seems that Trump voters are more intense over a few issues, whereas the Harris camp is moderately intense over all of them. On the bottom side of the priorities for Trump voters are really low, while the lowest amongst the Harris camp is not really all that low.

What does it mean for the election? I would think that you would want to attract some of the other side over to your side. But how do you do that? Maybe there's not a whole lot of opportunity for that.

There's plenty of agreement on the main issue, which is the economy. Immigration is top amongst Trump people, and the lowest amongst Harris.

You have to get your people to show up and vote. It seems to reflect upon how this is done. That's why it is so galling to have Democrats attack on the issue of Democracy. Actually, there's a lot of reasons for that to be galling. Trump voters care about the country, but Harris voters just care about themselves. You can see it in the their priorities.

How do you tease out winning issues? The Democrats have an advantage here in that the numbers can be fudged, and spending can mask a weak economy up to a point.

They can play off immigration against racial equality.

The GOP risks a bit with their carefree attitude towards the Supreme Court. The Court could be flipped easily and the Democrats are highly motivated to do just that.

We can all have fun with the dogs and cats thing, but the sleeper here is the Court. I get the feeling we are not doing enough, and I see this and I think it might be what tips the scales a little too much for comfort.





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