First of all, the deal passed the Senate by a veto proof margin. What about the House? Well, commentary should be held up on that one until I have that information. However, it is fair to assume that the margin in the House could have been smaller, but how much? After all, a Senator is up for reelection every six years, whereas the House is up every two years. Therefore, it is hard to believe that the Establishment would have been able to pull off an override.
Therefore, my suspicion is that the President might have held out a bit longer for a better
deal. He did take what he could get, and called it a day. If this comes back and bites
him, it may cost him the reelection next year.
Secondly, the end of the shutdown saw his polls rise to highs that I haven't seen before.
With such an approval rating, it is going to be hard to beat him as long as he can keep that up.
Thirdly, the POTUS put all his eggs in the judicial basket. You cannot count upon the courts right now. There is not enough of a margin for error, so this could backfire on Trump. My guess is that Trump could avoid scenarios that might cause this possibility. The ability of the Establishment to provoke Trump has proven to be fruitless. He is much too wily for that.
In the end, Trump can get a lot of the wall built by election day. He cannot get everything.
If he gets almost nothing, he will fail to be reelected. If he doesn't get everything, there
may be some grumbling, but he will probably gain more than lose.
As for my own preference, I would have rather have him put these creeps' feet to the fire
for as long as possible. Unfortunately, the political support isn't there for such a
confrontation. At some point, the shutdown had to end. Could he have won it? I think
probably not. There are a lot more creeps than patriots. That is the reality check that
must be made here.
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