quote:
If these interpolations are correct, it’s entirely possible that Romney can and will win considerably more than 25% of the vote in the large Northern states which start voting on February 28, with the primary in Michigan where Romney grew up and his late father is still fondly remembered by many Republicans. And many of those contests starting April 1 will allocate delegates by winner-take-all rules.
Comment:
That's why there's so little time, and why any serious movement to stop Romney must start right away.
If I had anything to say about it, I would try a left center strategy in New Hampshire. It isn't as conservative as the South. By going hard right, they'll just be splitting the conservative vote again. One tactic to do that would be to attack Romney's sincerity, particularly on social issues. That appears to be happening, but it needs to be much more aggressive.
Also, they could attack Romney's commitment to lower taxes. Bring up the no new taxes angle used on Bush 41 in 1992. By playing up Romney's squishisness, this could hurt him with the center as well. I'm guessing about that last part since New Hampshire is something of an anti tax state. Even the center must be anti tax in an anti tax state.
Finally, if they wanted to really get dirty, they can make Romney look like a defense hawk. I think Paul could do well with these types of voters.
The point is that New Hampshire is the last place you want to split up the conservative wing again. But an opportunity exists to split the left wing, so as to diminish his victory. If his victory can be blunted, a bigger defeat waits for him in the South, which in turn, could be decisive.
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