Tuesday, June 7, 2011

Saut: The Economy is in a Self Sustaining Recovery

video via Yahoo Breakout

  • Jeff Saut of Raymond James doesn't have a sell signal on Dow Theory
  • Hasn't broken through signal areas and doesn't see it
  • Any correction will be limited to 7 to 10 percent
  • Earning better, credit  is easing, yield curve in good shape
  • Does unemployment matter?  Corp profits are leading indicator and they are good
  • labor arbitrage back to US
  • supply chain in Japan will cause soft spot
  • QE3? More easing, should go to housing and employment?  No QE3, economy will grow.
  • QE3 if weakness continues, but will they call it that? Will support economy
  • Is there a second tier econ stat important.  No take it in aggregate.  Only a soft spot and economy will regear itself. 





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