Houston Texas is losing population

Just watched a video about the fact that my old hometown, Houston, is now losing population. The video mentions that this is a big deal, because the population loss has been a rarity in Houston since its beginning. The question was posed as to why this is happening.

The usual reasons were given. But mind you this: none of them involved anything that couldn't have been said previously, yet the population was always growing before. The question should have been this: What changed? Why would a boom town start to take on the appearance of a bust?

Consider the proposition of what it is that causes growth in the first place. Houston was about economic opportunity. This is made Houston a boom town. The thing that must have changed is that Houston is no longer booming. Again, the question is why is it not booming anymore?

Anybody want to venture an answer to this? I'll do it for you. It is the same reason why the world is almost in a catastrophic global war. It is why the dollar is about to lose its status as a reserve currency. It is why the US economy is in mess, and getting worse. It is simply the leftist jihad against oil, which is referred to as the Green New Deal.

Houston is known for its oil and petrochemical based industries. The Us government has declared war on oil, which means war on Houston. Houston is beginning to lose population. Surprise, surprise.

There are many canaries in the coal mine that are dropping. Houston could be another. It won't be long before other things start dropping dead. Know what I mean, Vern?

Free agency starts in NFL

Mock draft update. 4-13-23:

This is a neat little tool to wile away your free time. Or should it be a big waste of time? Whatever the case may be, NFL mock drafts are quite popular with a few folks out there. For yours truly, it is especially useful to forget the really crappy state of affairs in the world.

Anyway, here's my latest mock draft with the Pro Football Focus mock draft simulator. The way it works is that you select your team ( or you can choose them all), and the simulator will fill in the gaps of the others that you don't select. If you pick one, as this one does ( Houston), then the rest of the picks are filled in from the simulator.

I chose the Texans, and decided to choose Anthony Richardson as the top pick. There are no trades, and the following is the first round. The Texans have two picks in the first, and three more picks in the later rounds. This pick is only the first round for all teams. Another pic will show the picks for the final rounds for the Texans.

I chose Calijah Kancey with the second pick of the first round. The Texans need a lot of players, and this iteration of the simulation had Kancey falling right in my lap. So I took him. In the second round, another need is filled with another player who fell into my lap. Keeping up with that theme, there was an opportunity to pick up a bell cow prospect running back in the third. Charbonnett fills that bill, but it isn't exactly a need for the team. With the last pick comes another need filled with a receiver.

This mock draft version would have the Texans addressing most of their needs in the first three rounds, with plenty more picks giving them an opportunity to try other prospects as well.

Update on Mar 13th post

Pro Football Focus has a mock draft simulator, which I've been messing around with today. The trouble with mock drafts is that they attempt to predict what will happen, and this is pretty close to unpredictable. Anything can and will happen.

After fooling around with this for several hours, I ran through many simulations. I kept six or so on file. Again, this isn't any prediction on how things will go.

There was one simulation in which had CJ Stroud at pick 12, so I had the Texans take him there. That simulation began with the Texans taking Will Anderson Jr with the 2nd pick of the draft. Most folks think that Bryce Young will be taken instead with this pick. My own preference is to take the best player available ( besides Young, who I think is too small). That player could be someone other than Anderson, but that fellow has some issues that should be avoided.

After Stroud, the picks went Mazi Smith in the second round, with Jalin Hyatt and John Michael Schmitz finishing up the 3 round mock.

Such a draft would fill the Texans needs with high quality prospects. Also, such a draft is quite improbable.

For instance, the betting world has CJ Stroud going first in the draft. If he isn't available, my other mocks having the Texans take Hendon Hooker. But Hooker may be a reach in the first round, so he could slip into the later rounds. For instance, he could be taken in the third round, and have the draft go pretty much the same otherwise. Such a draft may be more probable, but still could end up being way off.

I should mention that if Hooker wasn't taken with the Texans' second pick, then who? He could be replaced by Calijah Kancey. Schmitz and Hooker could be interchangeable, but Hooker should probably be selected before Schmitz.

In that arrangement you'd have 1) Anderson 2) Kancey 3) Smith 4) Hooker 5) Schmitz. Still mostly improbable, but such a draft would give a good mix of the type players the Texans need. But no receivers! There are other possibilties, but such things would take a lot longer post to flesh out. For instance, instead of taking Smith in the third, there'd be an opportunity to select a wide out. But there probably won't be any first round quality wide outs unless the Texans drafted one with the 12th pick. Needless to say, I don't like that option.

A defense heavy draft may not be the ticket, so maybe Smith at 3 could be replaced with Jalin Hyatt or Rashee Rice.

mar 13th 2023:

This isn't going to be a mock draft type of post. Instead, I will focus on what I think the Houston Texans will do. The Texans have the 2nd pick in the draft, and the consensus is that they will select a QB. The QB is expected to be the franchise QB going forward.

Nothing happened today that will change this consensus. The Texans will sign Case Keenum, who is a veteran QB, and would be considered about an average NFL QB. He is over 30, and so he isn't going to be a long term solution, nor is he likely to carry the team as a franchise QB is expected to do. In other words, he is the bridge guy for the first year or two for the rookie QB they expect to take.

Which bring the discussion to who the Texans will take. They probably have their guy in mind, but he may not be there. The Panthers traded up, and are expected to take a QB with the first pick. I thought it over, and I think the Panthers would not have traded up and used up all those picks just to get an ordinary prospect. They would do this in order to get the top prospect in the draft. Of the QB's in this year's draft, the QB with the highest ceiling is Anthony Richardson. But he may not be ready to be the starter. He needs some polish, it is said.

If the Panthers don't take him, would the Texans? It would be an interesting scenario, should that be the case. My guess is that it won't be. It makes no sense to make the trade unless they believe the guy was special. The others may not have the upside that this guy has. This is why I think the Panthers will take him as the first pick in the draft. So the Texans won't get the opportunity, unless they trade up. I would consider that unlikely. If Richardson is available, then having Keenum in the fold will allow Richardson to develop without shattering his psyche, the way David Carr was when he was drafted first by the new expansion team in 2002.

The next two QB's may be pretty close to each other, so it may not matter that much as to who they take. Let's just say that it will be either Bryce Young or CJ Stroud. To tell the truth, I don't like Bryce Young's size, and so my preference is for Stroud.

Not much of a mock draft. To recap, it is Richardson, then Stroud. After that, I don't give a hoop. At least, not for the moment.

The Texans own the 12th pick, virtue of the Deshaun Watson deal. They're going to lose two edge guys to free agency, one is already gone. Most likely, they'll replace him with an edge guy. There is likely to be one available. Plus the got an edge guy today in free agency. The team's defense is getting set, so the offense will get the rest of the attention, I would think. A receiver may be taken with the 2nd round pick. Two third round picks may be spent on the offensive line.

Won't take it much further. Even though I am following this a lot closer than recent years, I am not really up on the NFL these days.

It may be interesting to review this when the draft takes place in late April.

My bucket's got a hole in it

Can't buy no beer. ( especially bud lite)

Wisconsin election interpretation

A few words about the recent election in Wisconsin. It seems that the GOP did well there except for the Supreme Court seat. This was a crucial race, as the ideological makeup of the Court there has now shifted in favor of the Democrats.

So what explains this? How is it that conservative ballot initiatives and certain races did well, but the Supreme Court race did not?

Trump posted on social media that the GOP candidate did not seek his endorsement. It is actually worse than that, if the GOP actually wanted to win the race. The incumbent tried to run as a nonpartisan type judge. He actually ran against the base, and especially against the MAGA faction. Turnout for him was below expectation. It may have been a winnable race.

So the never Trumpers cannot blame Trump for this one. In fact, if it shows anything, it shows that the never Trumpers cannot win in Wisconsin. Generally speaking, this is probably the case. Mainly, there may be exceptions, but in those exceptions, the GOP candidates cannot win by running against the base and MAGA. That is a modest interpretation. A more bold interpretation is that GOP won't win at all without the base and MAGA together.

Consequently, a race that runs against Trump, and is tolerant of MAGA might have a chance. But there are some never never Trumpers who wouldn't vote for the GOP without Trump.

The problem is division within the GOP. The best chance for victory is for the factions to unite. The odds of that may be 50-50 at best, and if it excludes Trump himself, it is less than 50-50. Certain defeat looms unless something changes.

Therefore, 2024 may be a problem for the GOP. This is true no matter who the nominee is.

The weakness of certain elements of the GOP is disgusting

 

This is in reference to the recent indictment of Trump. There are serious deficiencies in the indictment, and to attempt to judge Trump's fitness as the GOP nominee due to this indictment is what has gotten me a more than a bit annoyed.

There are some, which are in various places, who have decided to use the indictment to claim that there's something wrong with Trump being the nominee. One of those is Gov. Kasick of Ohio. Another is a blogger in the blog known as "Power Line".

There is a blogger there who appears to be a never Trumper. I'm sure it is the same guy who has written against Trump before. I don't read the blog a lot, but I have read it many time previously. There are times when you come across something like this, as Hinderasser questions why Trump should be nominated, and that there's something wrong with that fact. There must be something wrong with US who defend Trump. You don't have to like Trump, but he is a US citizen. We are supposed to have rights.

This is terribly weak if he actually believes it, or a huge lie if he doesn't.

The DA in New York refused to name the crime and claimed that he doesn't have to. Did it occur to these never Trumpers that he MAY NOT HAVE A CASE? For if he actually named the crime, he might get laughed out of court. So he says he doesn't have to name the crime. Very convenient for him and his Democrat cohorts. Also very convenient for never Trumpers.

It is clear that the Democrats want to make political hay with this, and so do the never Trumpers. If anybody bothered to look, they might find the REAL CRIME.

We have a Constitution, you know. An accused person has rights, supposedly, but evidently there are those who don't.

These people have enormous gall to claim that they support the "rule of law", and "democracy". For if it were the rule of law, there wouldn't be secret courts and secret crimes. If it were "democracy", there would be at least two viable and real parties. There wouldn't be a fake party that allows the dominant party to name those who the public will be allowed to vote for. All the Democrats have to do is make an accusation and the person is disqualified. How convenient. They would always choose the weakest opponent, so that they would always win. There are those in the GOP who claim that they support the American tradition. This is more in line with the Stalinist Soviet Union. Supposedly, the never Trumpers were against the Stalinist tactics being employed there at that time, so why do they support these same tactics here in America now???

The Democrats and the Never Trumpers are trying to rig the election in 2024. Why wouldn't they have done the same in 2020? If they can do this now, why not then??? Not only that, but also a false flag "insurrection". The Never Trumpers have tried to make political hay out that too.

A Psychoanalysis of Jay Gatsby (The Great Gatsby)

Update of 5.13.14 post:

Why this repost?  This is what you can call "a good question".

The Great Gatsby cont'd

For some reason, the movies don't measure up to the book. The book captures more of the characters natures and mannerisms, but the two versions of this, in film adaptations, fail to do this.

The more recent one, with DeCaprio as Gatsby, is even worse. The adaptations change a few things, as I don't recall the part in the book where the character Nick being treated by a shrink. Nor the part where the Gatsby character was in the process of attacking the character Tom before stopping himself from hitting him.

The movie tries to be true to the book but fails. I would attribute it to poor acting and poor casting.

I don't read much fiction, and I probably never would have read this book except for the fact that it was required reading in school.

I remember a paper having been required that answers the question as to what Gatsby's dream was, and why it failed.

I don't recall my answer, but my answer today would be that I don't believe the book, and certainly not the movies. If Gatsby was the type who could fight in a war well enough to be decorated for bravery, and if he associated with gangsters, then he wouldn't be so easy for Tom Buchanan to defeat. I don't buy that. Tom Buchanan was a sheltered dandy just like his wife Daisy. A man of the world, as Gatsby was supposed to be, would be defeated by mere words?

The movie doesn't get good reviews, but the book seems to be well regarded. Why is that? Another one of those good questions.

This video reminds me that there was a remake of the movie The Great Gatsby.  I didn't like the old version of the flick, maybe the new one is better.

What's coming, part deuce

It's hard to express complex thoughts sometimes. But everything must have a beginning, so with a brief stab at what I'm thinking, here goes:

Dick Morris says that there are some Medicare cuts coming. That will be on top of the Medicaid cuts already in the pipeline. What this tells me is that people are going to start to feel the effects of tight money. We've had a long time now with easy money, so the money is going to be tighter. This is only the beginning...

One reason for tighter money is the realization that the dollar may no longer be the world's reserve currency. The fact of the matter is that the USA reaps a lot of bounty off that role, and that role is being challenged right now by the BRICS nations. It's getting more and more widespread, and that makes the dollar weaker and weaker. The more that it happens, the more momentum it gathers. Then one day, the dollar could collapse. When that happens, all hell could break loose. Our fat, lazy, and dumb public is about to find out some hard realities.

So Biden could be trying to get ahead of it. Keep in mind that Brandon caused this snowball to start going downhill in the first place. This isn't just some accident. It was part and parcel of this Green New Deal. Since the dollar depended upon a bargain made with the Saudis way back when, the fact that we are drifting away from that understanding is why the dollar is falling out of favor with the Saudis, as well as many others who have been grumbling about the dollar for a long time now. Brandon has just given our enemies an opportunity to do away with the King Dollar. This is not good news for those accustomed to the status quo of easy money.

The consequences could be an economic collapse. If the dollar collapses, then a lot of people who thought they were rich and going to find themselves getting poor really fast. The dollar is supported by a lot of debt. If those debts cannot be repaid, and if they can no longer borrow their way out of it, then what will happen? It won't be pretty. There will be a lot of very unhappy campers around this neck of the woods. Interest rates are already going up, and its going to be harder and harder to service that debt.

So Medicare and Medicaid could be the canaries in the coal mine, so to speak. Other cuts are inevitable, as the crunch takes hold. This will have political effects. Can the big government apparatus manage what they've managed to undermine? It seems doubtful, but one thing is certain. Those in power will not give it up easily.

Along with economic collapse, there will be political upheaval. Indeed, that is what those in power want. But the trick is to keep this from boomeranging on them. So they'll need an assist from the their opponents. This would be the rest of us. The powers that be will try to hang it all on everyone else but themselves, but it was these same people who caused this mess in the first place. With their profligacy, their grasping for power, and their poor stewardship. Their greatest strength though, is their ability to avoid accountability.

That's what all the cancel culture is about. If people don't know what's going on, then how can responsibility be determined? If the ballot box gets tampered with, then how can the public right the ship? Chaos will rule. At least for awhile. With chaos comes opportunity. That's what some must be playing for.

I had a thought recently that went along with a quote from Milton. To paraphrase, these people would rather rule in hell than serve in heaven. They'll put the rest of us into hell before they'd ever do anything to improve upon the situation. It's hell that they prefer, because that is how they get their power.

We don't have much time.