Saturday, November 3, 2018

Don Surber: Democrats know they are in trouble

Don Surber: Democrats know they are in trouble: Target Early, a Democratic political data and data services firm, has bad news for Democrats. Early voting in battleground states is going t...

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Looks like mostly big numbers for the GOP.  After the early voting ends, there needs to be a follow up effort.  That is where it might be won or lost.

"It's not over till it's over."

That may strike some people as negative, but the focusing on polls is misdirected energy.  The polls may be useless right now.  Early voting favors Republicans, but it usually does anyway.  ( I could be mistaken about that. )




Friday, November 2, 2018

Don Surber: Liberals who want to kill the president

Don Surber: Liberals who want to kill the president: Never Trumpers now blame President Trump for one of their supporters shooting up a synagogue in Pittsburgh. The gunman murdered 11 Jewish ...

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Well, I don't know if  Never Trumpers and Liberals are exactly the same.  However, for anybody to be blaming Trump for what happened in that shooting in Pittsburgh is like throwing a "hail Mary" pass for the endzone.

These type of tactics are desperate, and not likely to succeed, just like a Hail Mary pass in football.

Anybody who goes beyond the rhetoric, and merely looks at basic facts can see that the President is not an anti-Semite.  If anything, the facts support the reverse--- it is the liberals who are anti-Semite.

Democrats might have a better chance in this election if they tried being honest for a change.


Steven Clifford: Straight white males should be banned from voting

Now here is a proposition for you to consider.  If the Supreme Court someday said that this could be done, what do you think about that?

If the Constitution means anything, this cannot be done. 

If you cannot discriminate upon race or sex, it means all races and both sexes.  Otherwise, the 14th Amendment to the US Constitution would have been repealed.  Not to mention that the process for changing the Constitution would have been overridden, and for all intents and purposes, the Constitution would be abolished.

Yet, how are we to know that the leftists would not try such a thing if they were to gain power?  They have been saying that they want to pack the court when they get back into power.  This is a real threat is the point.

Look at what they have been doing to conservative nominees such as Kavanaugh, this court packing scheme, and their judicial activism--- and you might see a danger brewing just ahead .




Main Street GOP? It is not supposed to be that way.

But it is, under Trump.

More jobs being created at a fast clip.  Good paying jobs, as payrolls exceed inflation.  Low inflation.

Looks like it should be a landslide, but if you pay attention to polls, it is supposed to be close.  Why would anybody be against this kind of news?  That is the word--- "news".  The news is so overwhelmingly negative, it may get people to vote against a record like this.  To tell you the truth, I don't believe the news or the polls.  Just get out and vote, and let the chips fall where they may.




Thursday, November 1, 2018

Betsy's Page: Cruising the Web

Betsy's Page: Cruising the Web: This is the news that the Republicans should be focusing on. Compensation for U.S. workers grew at an accelerating rate in the third quart...

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Actually, this is a change in pace from what I have been reading lately.  I have been critical of this blogger recently, but this is a welcome relief to read this post, I must say.

At this stage of the game, there is way too much talk about polls.  In this election, polls may be of less use than usual because of the change that may be occurring in the electorate.  If I am right, the poll models are wrong, and the results will surprise a lot of people next week.

We'll see.


Don Surber: Wall Street sees Republican win

Don Surber: Wall Street sees Republican win: CNBC reported, "Morgan Stanley's Mike Wilson attributes at least part of the recent stock market sell-off to some investors startin...


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This kind of political reporting is junk.

I spent a lot of time trying to figure out how the market will move, and I was never able to do it.  Maybe I am not smart enough.  But I don't think the "market" gives a hoop about who wins elections.  If the market was really that predictable, I would like to think I would have been able to figure it out.  ( and get rich from it )

There isn't much to write about until this mania is over when the election is over.


Wednesday, October 31, 2018

Shadow stats

This one is a shocker, considering all of the rosy scenario economic reporting going on lately.

It was all supposed to be so good, but this site says not so fast.  Much of the growth was from inventories.  Also, the trade figures are not that good either.

Anyway, as mentioned several times already, nobody knows what is going to happen.  Pelosi is out there saying that the Dems will take the House for sure, but how would she know?

If the polls' modeling is wrong, then there is no way anybody is going to predict what is going to happen with certainty.

However, the unemployment rate is as low as it has been in the last 50 years.  Now, that may mean something.  Consumer confidence is also very high.

As for recessions, there has always been an inverted yield curve that precedes one.  At this time, there in no such thing.  In fact, before the last recession which was severe, the yield curve was inverted for quite some time.  Since it hasn't been inverted for any time at all, it is most unlikely that the economy is headed for recession any time soon.

The Fed is raising rates, but be aware that the rates have been very low for a very long time.  No one knows how this economy is going to do when that support is taken away.  We are about to find out.