Abortion is a fake issue

9.11.24

A question was asked of JD Vance, and he said that it was a "media myth" or something to that effect. Could it be true that it is a media myth, or is the media asking the question to the wrong people?

There are those on the GOP side that seem to think that Trump went soft on the issue. So, is the so-called abortion ban a thing, or no?

As far as Trump is concerned, it is. Why ask JD Vance, then? Trump has been quite clear on this issue. It won't pass anyway, because of a filibuster in the Senate. In order to make this so-called abortion ban law, it will take at least 60 Senators, plus the House, and the President. If Trump is President, or even Kamala Harris, they will have to override the veto. That's two thirds of both Houses. The odds of anything like that are just about zero. I say it is a phony issue. But that is all they've got. Quick update: And there's this about the Virginia governor.

9.10.24:

This country is not always a nice, big, happy family. In those cases, you might want to ease up when the heat is on.

Since we are in the silly season, the heat can said to be on. So a few thoughts on one subject that came to mind, and that is the abortion issue.

Is this issue really that important though? It seems to me that the Dobbs decision was a good enough solution for most people. But there are those who will be unhappy with it.

Democrats want to pack the courts so that they can undo Dobbs and reinstate Roe v Wade. The risk there is that they may well do a lot more than just that. By the way, packing the courts will do away with any chance at checks and balances. How does that square with democracy? That's another one of the Democrats' fake issues.

What would happen if the GOP took both houses and the Presidency? There may be an attempt to ban abortion in all of the nation. Dobbs doesn't do that, but there's no stopping the state legislatures from doing it. However, that is unlikely. Hence, some on the pro-life side may want to ban it everywhere. Trump has said that he will veto it, so the risk may be that he would break that promise. But Trump sticks with his word, so I think for the pro-abortion crowd, there is little risk that Trump would sign a bill that bans it in all the country.

Actually, even if the GOP runs the table and gets all branches, there is still little risk that a nationwide abortion ban will be enacted in Congress. The GOP will need 60 votes in the Senate in order to overcome the certain filibuster. The more likely outcome is that Dobbs will be overruled by either a Democrat controlled Congress and a Democrat president. It will overruled in either Congress or the packed Supreme Court. The Dems are on record for wanting to pack the Court.

My point here is that there is more of a risk to Democracy over the issue of abortion than there is to a Donald Trump presidency and a GOP Congress. That's because the Democrats will have a free hand to implement all of what they want in addition to abortion. They can use the Courts or they can enact it into law. The odds are against a GOP Congress getting a nation-wide ban on abortion, and the Courts won't be packed with anti-abortion zealots anyway. It took 50 years to get a modest check on abortion like what Dobbs is.

Where's the problem, then? Abortion could be the fulcrum upon which the future of the nation is leveraged. It would be unfortunate for the Democracy if certain people in the GOP pushed the Democrats into the issue, and the Democrats used it to push their way into a one party totalitarian state. That is the biggest risk of all.

As for the GOP, they may not care about anything except that abortion issue on the basis of morality. But how does it serve morality to lose the country? At least you have Dobbs now. I think Trump has it right. Nobody needs to worry about this, except for the those on the "extreme". I'd say packing the court is rather extreme to solve a problem that really doesn't exist. Women can get an abortion even with Dobbs, and aren't likely to lose that choice no matter who wins. But we could lose choices in a lot of other areas if this issue is allowed to determine the future of the nation.