What Pelosi is really doing

Update:

2.5.20:

Pelosi tears up the SOTU copy.  What's she doing?  Same thing.  She has to keep her divided party together, and the only way is to oppose Trump at every turn.  The move is symbolic.

12.29.19:

This impeachment gambit will almost certainly fail.  Pelosi must know that, so what is she really doing?

It is within the realm of possibility that she will succeed.  But such a victory may not be what she is really seeking either.  It would be a Pyrrhic Victory, with the victors hardly better off than with a defeat.

It should be recalled that she opposed the impeachment for political reasons.  So what changed?  The changing factor was the loss of control of her caucus.  Therefore, that is what she is really doing.  She is attempting to keep her caucus under control even though the impeachment is against the interests of her faction.

If her faction succeeds in impeaching and removing this president, the country will become ungovernable.  Certainly, she must know that.  There is no way that Trump partisans will ever accept impeachment and removal for what is almost without a doubt, to be for partisan reasons.  Even if this impeachment succeeds, there has to be an afterward.  That would be very much in doubt if Trump were to be removed based upon merely partisan motivations.

Therefore, against her better judgment, she is going along with a flawed strategy.  She is keeping herself at the head of the parade that is marching in the wrong direction.  Persuasion has failed, so now she either accepts the demands of her fractious partisans or loses control.

She is not to be pitied.  If she were honest, she would resign from the speakership.  She is no better than the partisans, except for one thing.  She probably has a bit more sense than they do.  But she is not to be trusted, because she is just as dishonest as the rest of her tribe.  If she were honest, she would admit that truth is not on their side, as the impeachment of this president is a flawed approach to what is essentially a political obstacle for them to overcome.  She knows that their goals won't be aided by such a flawed approach, but her followers won't accept such wise counsel.  She seeks to live to fight another day.